Friday, June 11, 2010

Beyond "Climategeddon" - from science education to solutions


That's my take on the LODE paper too, and why I say it adds nothing specific to the *models* and I should have specified, I meant CGCMs. It does present ideas worth considering, but not specific enough to incorporate immediately into models of modern climate.

Thanks for clarifying your understanding of the tired old deniar "lead vs lag" red herring. To answer your question, do I know the state of paleoclimatology on that, the simple answer is "no."

"Do any paleoclimatologists who favor orbital/millennial forcing have an explanantion for the impact of CO2 leading the T increase (now) vs CO2 trailing the T increase (antiquity)?"

My own take is that the mechanism is simple:
more sunlight --> more photosynthesis & fewer animals freezing to death --> overall more CO₂ emitted --> less heat escapes to space = temperature increase.

Presently, we're just starting at the penultimate step of that sequence:
overall more CO₂ emitted --> less heat escapes to space = temperature increase

One other observation: The public's confusion that what "amplified" warming in the distant past could not now "drive" or be the primary "forcing agent" of current warming, could never have happened if Cardhu's vigilant insistence on a physical mechanism (and understanding it!) was as well-represented throughout the mainstream press as, for example, the idea of "openness" in science was parroted out of and contrary to its proper context after the theft and illegal publication of data from University of East Anglia.
About Climate Change
Read the Article at HuffingtonPost

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